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CEPA completes 3 years; powering India-UAE trade and economic ties

Bilateral gem and jewellery trade surged from US$ 20.88 billion in FY2022 to US$ 28.15 billion in FY2024, reflecting a robust 35% increase

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The *Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA)* between *India and the UAE*, formalised on 18th February 2022, has profoundly strengthened economic ties between the two nations. As we commemorate its third anniversary, it is evident that CEPA has significantly enhanced trade opportunities, particularly for India’s gem and jewellery industry.

Since CEPA’s implementation, trade between India and the UAE has witnessed remarkable growth. The bilateral gem and jewellery trade surged from US$ 20.88 billion in FY2022 to US$ 28.15 billion in FY2024, reflecting a robust 35% increase. India’s gem and jewellery exports to the UAE also soared by over 60%, from US$ 4.95 billion in FY2022 to US$ 8.04 billion in FY2024.

Notably, UAE’s share in India’s total exports rose from 13% in FY2022 to 25% in FY2024, overtaking Hong Kong as India’s second-largest export market. This underscores the transformative impact of CEPA on India’s trade dynamics.

One of the most significant benefits of CEPA has been the duty-free access for all gem and jewellery products, including gold, silver, and platinum jewellery, along with polished diamonds and gemstones.This development has motivated Indian exporters to increase their supply of various gem and jewellery items to the UAE, capitalising on the enhanced market access provided by the agreement.

This policy shift has led to substantial growth in key export categories:

Plain Gold Jewellery: Exports surged by 127.62%, reaching US$ 4,240 million in FY2024.

Studded Gold Jewellery: Increased by over 50%, from US$ 917 million in FY2022 to US$ 1,382 million in FY2024.

Worked Lab-Grown Diamonds: Witnessed a 58.16% growth, reaching US$ 172 million in FY2024.

Platinum Jewellery: Recorded a staggering 820.87% increase, reaching US$ 23 million.

Coloured Gemstones: Grew by 17.19% to US$ 9.34 million

*Kirit Bhansali*, Chairman, GJEPC, said, “The India-UAE CEPA has propelled our gem and jewellery exports to new heights, growing by over 60% from US$ 4.95 billion in FY2022 to US$ 8.04 billion in FY2024. The UAE now accounts for nearly a quarter of India’s total gem and jewellery exports, surpassing Hong Kong. The duty-free advantage has unlocked immense opportunities, particularly in plain gold jewellery, which saw a 127% surge. As we celebrate three years of CEPA, we remain committed to strengthening this vital partnership and exploring new avenues for growth.”

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Gold prices in India extend recovery on softer U.S. dollar, easing Treasury yields, lower crude oil prices.

Market participants attributed the firming metal prices to a pause in U.S. yield gains following strong demand at the latest 30-year U.S. Treasury auction, which relieved pressure on non-yielding assets.

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Gold prices in India extended their recovery on Saturday, with 24-carat gold climbing back above the 151,000 rupee mark per 10 grams, supported by a softer U.S. dollar, easing Treasury yields, and lower crude oil prices.

The domestic benchmark rate for 24K gold rose by 710 rupees, or approximately 0.47%, to 151,420 rupees per 10 grams. For bulk purchases, 100 grams of 24K gold stood at 1,514,200 rupees, up 7,100 rupees from the previous session.

Jewellery-grade 22K gold advanced by 650 rupees to 138,800 rupees per 10 grams, while 18K gold climbed 540 rupees to hit 113,570 rupees per 10 grams. Per sovereign (8 grams), 24K gold traded at 121,136 rupees and 22K gold at 111,040 rupees.

The rebound follows a volatile week for bullion. Over the past four sessions, 24K gold has climbed nearly 1.5%, gaining roughly 2,240 rupees from 149,180 rupees on Oct. 6. On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures rebounded above 151,000 rupees after dipping toward the 149,000 rupee level earlier in the week.

In international markets, spot gold traded near $4,174.78 an ounce after recovering from $4,118.63 in the previous session and briefly breaching $4,200. International spot silver surged over 2% to trade around $60.40 an ounce, driving domestic silver rates in India to approximately 235,000 rupees per kilogram.

Market participants attributed the firming metal prices to a pause in U.S. yield gains following strong demand at the latest 30-year U.S. Treasury auction, which relieved pressure on non-yielding assets.

However, analysts warned that near-term gains may remain capped due to expectations surrounding Federal Reserve monetary policy.The key constraint is the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, with policymakers signaling that further tightening may be necessary to bring inflation back to target.

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