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AUGMONT WEEKLY BLOG:Gold on beast mode as Liberation Day approaches

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Gold has continued its terrific run, on beast mode, hitting $3177 (Rs 91400) to set another milestone, as uncertainty about tariffs that would drive inflation and deteriorate economic development boosted safe-haven demand and maintained gold on track for its best quarter since 1986. The buying demand in gold continues unabated, with markets scrambling for shelter in the traditional store of wealth amid concerns over US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans on ‘Liberation Day’, April 2.

What is Liberation Day?

As per Wikipedia, “Liberation Day is a day, often a public holiday, that marks the liberation of a place, similar to an Independence Day. Liberation marks the date of either a revolution, as in Cuba, the fall of a dictatorship, as in Syria, or the end of the occupation by another state, as in the Netherlands, thereby differing from the original independence day or creation of statehood, while in Italy commemorates the victory of the Italian resistance movement against Nazi Germany and the Italian Social Republic, a puppet state of the Nazis and rump state of the fascists, the culmination of the liberation of Italy from German occupation and the Italian civil war in the latter phase of World War II”.

US Liberation Day on April 2

Donald Trump has threatened a “Liberation Day” with tariffs on countries having persistent trade deficits with the US. On Wednesday, April 2, the world will learn about Donald Trump’s new style of doing business with almost everyone. That is when the White House will unveil its tariff plan, which includes duty increases for all countries that trade products and services with the United States. Trump has not hinted at imposing a levy on gold, but the prospect of such a move has pushed prices to their current levels. Is gold taxed on imports? We find out on Wednesday. Until then, speculation is likely to continue in full swing.

Trump rattling the markets

Furthermore, US President Donald Trump shook markets last week by placing 25% tariffs on all non-American vehicles and light trucks ahead of the so-called reciprocal tariffs, which are scheduled to take effect on April 2. On Sunday, Trump expressed his rage and frustration with Russian President Vladimir Putin, threatening large tariffs on Russian energy and even bombings in Iran. He also stated that if he believes Moscow is impeding his efforts to end the Ukraine conflict, he will slap secondary tariffs ranging from 25% to 50% on Russian oil customers. Trump also slammed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, warning that he would suffer serious consequences if he pulled out of the important rare earth minerals deal. This further weighs on investors’ sentiment and contributes to the global flight to safety.

What next?

Bullion is up around 18% this year after climbing more than 27% in 2024, owing to a favorable monetary policy background, significant central bank buying, and demand for exchange-traded funds, among other things. This comes on top of continuing concerns over slowing US economic growth, which drives stagflation fears, pulling the US Dollar down and providing more support to gold.

The next resistance for gold is $3210(~Rs 92000) while Silver is stuck in the range of $33 to $35, prices need to sustain above its $35 resistance to head higher towards $38.

National News

GJC lauds GST 2.0, says it is landmark reform that ushers in a new era of trust, transparency, for GJ  sector

It reflects the government’s commitment to ease of doing business and provides jewellers with the confidence to focus on growth, innovation, and customer service.

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Rajesh Rokde, Chairman -GJC issued a statement on The 57th GST Council recommendation. Which included  a series of measures to simplify tax administration, accelerate refunds and reduce compliance costs, with potential benefits for India’s gem and jewellery manufacturers, exporters, wholesalers and retailers.

The statement read:

GST 2.0 is a landmark reform that ushers in a new era of trust, transparency, and efficiency for the gems and jewellery sector. It reflects the government’s commitment to ease of doing business and provides jewellers with the confidence to focus on growth, innovation, and customer service.

 These progressive steps will strengthen industry credibility, safeguard livelihoods, and contribute to sustainable development across India. The Council’s recommendations comprehensively address areas that jewellers have long sought reform in — from smoother movement of goods in transit and faster automated refunds that improve cash flow, to fairer notices that reduce litigation and ensure natural justice.

The rationalization of penalties, reduction of the general penalty cap, and recognition of employee insurance ITC reflect a balanced approach that values both compliance and care for our workforce. Most importantly, the withdrawal of arrest powers and the increase in prosecution thresholds will instill greater trust and confidence across the trade.

 Together, these measures will reduce disruption, improve working capital, safeguard livelihoods, and create a more supportive business environment. GJC wholeheartedly welcomes GST 2.0 as a forward-looking framework that empowers jewellers, enhances industry credibility, and contributes to sustainable growth for one of India’s most vital sectors

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