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AUGMONT WEEKLY BLOG:Gold on beast mode as Liberation Day approaches

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Gold has continued its terrific run, on beast mode, hitting $3177 (Rs 91400) to set another milestone, as uncertainty about tariffs that would drive inflation and deteriorate economic development boosted safe-haven demand and maintained gold on track for its best quarter since 1986. The buying demand in gold continues unabated, with markets scrambling for shelter in the traditional store of wealth amid concerns over US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans on ‘Liberation Day’, April 2.

What is Liberation Day?

As per Wikipedia, “Liberation Day is a day, often a public holiday, that marks the liberation of a place, similar to an Independence Day. Liberation marks the date of either a revolution, as in Cuba, the fall of a dictatorship, as in Syria, or the end of the occupation by another state, as in the Netherlands, thereby differing from the original independence day or creation of statehood, while in Italy commemorates the victory of the Italian resistance movement against Nazi Germany and the Italian Social Republic, a puppet state of the Nazis and rump state of the fascists, the culmination of the liberation of Italy from German occupation and the Italian civil war in the latter phase of World War II”.

US Liberation Day on April 2

Donald Trump has threatened a “Liberation Day” with tariffs on countries having persistent trade deficits with the US. On Wednesday, April 2, the world will learn about Donald Trump’s new style of doing business with almost everyone. That is when the White House will unveil its tariff plan, which includes duty increases for all countries that trade products and services with the United States. Trump has not hinted at imposing a levy on gold, but the prospect of such a move has pushed prices to their current levels. Is gold taxed on imports? We find out on Wednesday. Until then, speculation is likely to continue in full swing.

Trump rattling the markets

Furthermore, US President Donald Trump shook markets last week by placing 25% tariffs on all non-American vehicles and light trucks ahead of the so-called reciprocal tariffs, which are scheduled to take effect on April 2. On Sunday, Trump expressed his rage and frustration with Russian President Vladimir Putin, threatening large tariffs on Russian energy and even bombings in Iran. He also stated that if he believes Moscow is impeding his efforts to end the Ukraine conflict, he will slap secondary tariffs ranging from 25% to 50% on Russian oil customers. Trump also slammed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, warning that he would suffer serious consequences if he pulled out of the important rare earth minerals deal. This further weighs on investors’ sentiment and contributes to the global flight to safety.

What next?

Bullion is up around 18% this year after climbing more than 27% in 2024, owing to a favorable monetary policy background, significant central bank buying, and demand for exchange-traded funds, among other things. This comes on top of continuing concerns over slowing US economic growth, which drives stagflation fears, pulling the US Dollar down and providing more support to gold.

The next resistance for gold is $3210(~Rs 92000) while Silver is stuck in the range of $33 to $35, prices need to sustain above its $35 resistance to head higher towards $38.

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National News

Silver jewellery and articles sector shines bright

Driven by affordability, evolving consumer preferences, retailer investment and design-led positioning

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India’s silver jewellery and articles sector is doing well despite high prices because consumers are treating silver as an affordable alternative to gold, while retailers are widening the category through gold-plated silver and dedicated standalone stores.

Beyond jewellery, silver articles and artefacts are emerging as an important pillar of India’s broader silver market, supported by strong cultural traditions, gifting habits, and rising premium consumption. From pooja items, idols, utensils, and decorative homeware to corporate gifting and commemorative pieces, silver continues to hold deep emotional and ceremonial value in Indian households.

Silver jewellery’s current momentum appears rooted in deeper structural drivers: affordability, evolving consumer preferences, retailer investment, and design-led positioning. For middle and upper-middle-income households, silver offers entry into the precious metal ecosystem at a fraction of the ticket size, without diluting the emotional equity attached to metal ownership

Market momentum

  • Silver jewellery is gaining traction among price-sensitive buyers, younger consumers, and gift shoppers who want style without the cost of gold. Industry commentary points to silver’s role as a daily-wear, lightweight option. Trade‑aligned market assessments (incorporating GJEPC and World Silver Survey data) put India’s silver jewellery and silverware segment at a CAGR of around 4–6% between 2025 and 2029, slightly below but aligned with the broader jewellery market’s 6–7% growth.

Why silver is selling

High gold prices have pushed many buyers toward silver, especially for lower-ticket purchases in the ₹10,000–₹30,000 range. Gold-plated silver jewellery is also popular because it gives a gold-like look at a much lower price, which has helped expand the customer base beyond traditional silver buyers.

Retail expansion

A notable trend is the rise of standalone silver stores and organised silver formats, as retailers see room to build a separate identity for the category rather than treating it as an add-on to gold. This works well in India because silver has strong gifting, fashion, and everyday-wear demand, especially in tier 2 and tier 3 markets.

Retailers are widening assortments to include fashion jewellery, premium silverware, gifting collections, office wear, bridal-inspired silver, men’s accessories, and personalised jewellery.

Organized retail is also improving design innovation, visual merchandising, branding, and customer trust—areas where silver historically lagged behind gold jewellery.

Hallmarking boost

Silver hallmarking has become more credible with the BIS’s voluntary HUID-based system, which began on 1 September 2025 and uses a digitally traceable format with defined purity grades. That should help consumer trust, especially for branded retail and premium silver jewellery.

Import restrictions

The DGFT’s restriction on certain silver jewellery imports, aimed largely at curbing flows from Thailand and some ASEAN routes, has supported domestic players by reducing pressure from imported merchandise.

Silver shines bright

Long-term growth in India’s silver jewellery market is increasingly being driven by changing consumer behavior, with jewellery viewed less as a one-time investment and more as an accessible expression of personal style. For retailers and manufacturers investing in branding, hallmarking, premiumization, and dedicated retail formats, silver jewellery is emerging as one of the most promising growth opportunities in the Indian jewellery sector.

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