International News
WGC Report: Central banks continue their great gold grab in November 2024 Central banks and gold in July
By Krishan Gopaul, Senior Analyst, EMEA, World Gold Council
- Based on available reported data, central banks bought a net 53t in November. The National Bank of Poland (21t) was the biggest buyer, while the People’s Bank of China reported its first addition (6t) since April. The Monetary Authority of Singapore was the biggest seller during the month, while the Bank of Finland also announced a reduction in its gold reserve.
- Assessing the final act of 2024, central banks around the world continued to play a leading role in the demand for gold. Combined reported bank gold demand registered a net 53t of global official holdings based on available monthly data.
- These effective purchases were spread throughout the year and centered on familiar buyer markets — notably Emerging Markets — as the reasons behind holding gold, having increased for a stable reserve during times of global and economic uncertainties.
The gold price dip in November, following the US election, may have provided some central banks with added impetus to accumulate. At a country level, much of the buying was limited to those who have been active in recent months:
- The National Bank of Poland (NBP) was once again a major buyer. It increased its gold reserves by 21t in November, to 448t. Gold now accounts for almost 18% of its total reserves, just below the previously stated target of 20%. This purchase also cemented the NBP’s position as the leading gold buyer on a year-to-date (y-t-d) basis of 130t.
- Data published by the Central Bank of Turkey (CBRT) showed its gold reserve rose by 5t during the month to 578t, maintaining additions since July.
As a result, both banks’ steady purchases mean total y-t-d net gold holdings amount to 382t.
International News
Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector
Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments
Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.
We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:
- Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
- Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
- Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
- Energy Sector Headwinds
Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:
- Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.
Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation
The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.
- US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
- Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.
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