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Silver retraces down on margin hike pressure AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Following a parabolic run that saw silver reach a high of $84. on December 29, the market had a severe correction, losing more than 15% of its value in just 48 hours.
  • The upheaval started in earnest during the holiday-shortened trading week in late December. On December 26, 2025, the CME Group published Advisory No. 25-393, which raised the initial margin for March 2026 silver futures from $22,000 to $25,000.
  • The CME Group acted again, seeing a potential systemic danger as volatility indicators reached levels not seen in almost a decade. On December 30, 2025, the exchange announced a second, harsher raise, increasing margins by 30% to $32,500 per contract.
  • When the New York floor opened on the last day of the year, a tsunami of forced liquidations had hit the tape. Investors who had entered the market at $80 were confronted with margin calls they could not satisfy, triggering a cascade sell-off those wiped billions of dollars in paper riches in a matter of hours.

Technical Triggers         

  • Gold prices are expected to consolidate in the range of $4320 (~Rs 134,000) and $4420 (~Rs 137,000) after this sharp rally and sell off this week.
  • Silver prices are expected to consolidate between $70 (~Rs 223,000) and $76 (~Rs 242,000), after the sharp rally and sell off this week.

Support and Resistance

MetalMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$4300 / oz$4420 / oz
GoldIndia₹134,000 / 10 gm₹137,000 / 10 gm
SilverInternational$70 / oz$76 / oz
SilverIndia₹223,000 / kg₹242,000 / kg

Source: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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DiamondBuzz

Rio Tinto’s Diamond Division Posts $79 Million EBITDA Loss in 2025

Higher output from Canada’s Diavik Diamond Mine offsets revenue decline, but end-of-life pressures continue to weigh on performance.

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Rio Tinto reported a challenging year for its diamond business in 2025, posting an underlying EBITDA loss of $79 million despite improved revenues. While the loss narrowed compared to the $115 million deficit recorded in 2024, the division remained under pressure amid a global diamond market slowdown and the nearing closure of its last active mine.

Annual revenue rose 19% to $332 million, supported by stronger production at the Diavik mine in Canada, Rio Tinto’s only remaining diamond operation. Output climbed 61% to 4.4 million carats, driven by the ramp-up of mining activities in the underground section of the A21 deposit, which began scaling up in late 2024.

However, the A21 underground ore body is expected to be depleted by the end of the first quarter of 2026, marking the end of Diavik’s operational life. The company plans to spend approximately $1 billion this year on closure activities related to Diavik, as well as rehabilitation work at the former Argyle Diamond Mine, which ceased production in 2020, and other non-diamond projects.

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