International News
Silver kicks off with vigour safe-haven demand, inflation concern
Silver kicked off the week with renewed vigor, reversing Friday’s pullback from its all-time high near $64.65. Fresh buying emerged around the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA), propelling the white metal above the mid-$62.00s during the Asian session—marking a 1.25% daily gain.
This bounce reinforces the multi-week uptrend, driven by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation concerns, and industrial demand from solar and electronics sectors.
- Support and Bounce Dynamics: The 100-hour SMA acted as a reliable floor, with prices rebounding sharply. Breaking back above the $62.00 psychological level confirms bullish control, targeting intermediate resistance at $63.50 (near Friday’s high) and the all-time peak at $64.65.
- Uptrend Integrity: Silver remains within a well-defined ascending channel on the 4-hour chart, with the 50-hour SMA now providing dynamic support near $61.80. A sustained hold here could eye $65.00 in the near term
Geopolitical risks (e.g., Middle East tensions) and a weakening USD (DXY below 105) bolster silver’s appeal over gold, especially for industrial users in India amid rising import duties on lab-grown alternatives. However, Fed rate cut expectations could cap gains if data softens. Bulls hold the edge for now—favor dips for longs—but avoid aggressive bets until RSI cools.
Jewellery Sector Implications: With MCX silver mirroring spot gains, Indian wholesalers may see margin relief. Monitor for $63+ breakouts to hedge physical inventory.
International News
MCX Gold, Silver Rise Despite Global Weakness; US Data, Iran Tensions Keep Bullion Markets On Edge
While Domestic Gold and Silver Prices Edged Higher On MCX, International Spot Gold Slipped Amid Uncertainty Over US-Iran Negotiations, Inflation Concerns
Gold and silver prices witnessed mixed momentum on May 28, with domestic futures on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) trading marginally higher even as international spot gold prices remained under pressure. The divergence reflects cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty surrounding US-Iran peace negotiations, and expectations of tighter monetary policy in the United States.
MCX gold futures for June delivery rose modestly by Rs. 215 to Rs. 1,57,898 per 10 grams, while silver futures for July delivery gained Rs. 2,000 to trade at Rs. 2,72,628 per kilogram in early trade. The domestic uptick was supported by weakness in the US dollar and cautious positioning ahead of key macroeconomic developments.
However, global spot gold prices extended losses for a second consecutive session as investors remained wary of the inflationary impact of elevated energy prices and the possibility of prolonged geopolitical instability in the Middle East. Analysts noted that fading hopes of a near-term diplomatic breakthrough between the US and Iran have revived concerns around oil supply disruptions, higher crude prices, and inflation risks — factors that continue to influence precious metals.
According to market experts, gold has struggled to regain strong upside momentum despite its safe-haven appeal, as rising US bond yields and a firmer dollar have reduced investor appetite for non-yielding assets like bullion. Silver, meanwhile, remained under pressure globally after recent military developments in southern Iran weakened expectations of an immediate resolution to regional tensions.
Investors are now closely watching key US macroeconomic indicators, including ADP employment figures, GDP growth data, and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation index — the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. These data points are expected to offer fresh direction on the Fed’s interest rate trajectory, which remains a crucial driver for gold and silver prices.
With geopolitical risks still elevated and inflation concerns persisting, bullion markets are expected to remain volatile in the near term as traders await clearer signals on both diplomacy and monetary policy.
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