DiamondBuzz
Russia Dominates 2025 Diamond Production Value For Third Consecutive Year
Recovers 31.5 Million Carats Valued At $2.72 Billion (Averaging $86 Per Carat).
Russia maintained its lead in global rough diamond production value for the third year in a row in 2025, recovering 31.5 million carats valued at $2.72 billion (averaging $86 per carat).
Meanwhile, production in Botswana fell due to operational shutdowns at the Jwaneng and Orapa mines, resulting in 15.5 million carats worth $1.98 billion, though it achieved a higher average price of $128 per carat. Globally, the rough diamond market saw a contraction: overall output dropped 3% in value to $9.23 billion and 8% in volume to 98.8 million carats, driven by significant export declines from Russia, Canada, Zimbabwe, and Lesotho.
Global rough output fell 3% year on year to $9.23 billion. By volume, production dropped 8% to 98.8 million carats. Total imports slipped 8% by volume, while global exports declined 7%.
The dip in exports reflects a 1.8% slump in the number of carats exported from Russia, and a slide of 10% from Canada, 41% from Zimbabwe and 63% from Lesotho.
DiamondBuzz
Global Diamond Markets and Overall Prices Remain Steady
Steady Prices Mask A Polarizing Market Where Specific Large Shapes Win and Poorly Cut Diamonds Stagnate.
The natural diamond and high-end jewelry sectors are experiencing a period of selective resilience. While macro-market prices remain steady, structural shifts in consumer preference, inventory drawdowns, and geographic demand variations are creating distinct “winners and losers” across diamond cuts, sizes, and geographies.
- Macro Overview: Global markets and overall prices remain steady. Dossier prices continue to recover—particularly in the 0.30 ct. round collection goods—following a significant inventory drop.
- B2B Buyer Behavior: Demand remains patchy. Wholesale buyers are strictly purchasing to fulfill specific, pre-existing orders rather than buying for inventory.
- Category Winners: Sales are heavily concentrated in 2-carat and larger diamonds. While rounds are stable, long fancy shapes (Ovals, Marquises, Emeralds) are outperforming rounds in the 2 ct.+ category. High-quality Marquises, long Radiants, and long Cushions are in short supply.
- Shape Premiums & Trends: > * Marquise is currently the most expensive fancy shape.
- Long Cushions are highly liquid, trading at a 20% to 25% premium over square cushions.
- Antique cuts/styles and well-proportioned, elongated Ovals (D–I color, VS–SI clarity) see robust demand, especially in the US.
- Illiquidity Risk: Poorly proportioned fancy shapes remain entirely illiquid.
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