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Rush for physical gold creates a premium for COMEX futures over spot prices

This rush for physical gold has created a pronounced premium for COMEX futures over spot prices.

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Traders are moving reserves from traditional hubs like London to New York to capitalise on these spreads. The shift has even strained established systems: the Bank of England, for instance, now faces withdrawal delays of up to 4–8 weeks—far longer than the usual turnaround time. Across Asia, bullion banks are also redirecting supplies, with private vaults in New York (operated by HSBC and JPMorgan) reportedly receiving additional shipments.

Despite global enthusiasm, India’s gold market paints a contrasting picture. In domestic markets, physical gold is trading at a discount compared to futures, a clear signal of tepid demand.

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International News

Precious Metals zoom ato record high ahead of FOMC meet AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Around $3728 (~Rs 110,300) for gold futures and $43.23 (~Rs 129,7000) for silver, both markets were trading close to a record high ahead of the US FED’s two-day policy meeting that begins today.
  • The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, the first since December, and markets are almost certain that the easing cycle will continue into the following year. Recap: Despite the president’s dismissal, the federal appeals court permits Lisa Cook to remain as a Fed gov and take part in the FOMC meeting beginning tomorrow.
  • For clues about the direction of future policy, all eyes will be on the Fed’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections, which includes the much-awaited dot plot, and Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. Regarding the data, reports on industrial production and retail sales that are anticipated later today will be closely examined to gain more understanding of how strong the economy is.

Technical Triggers 

  • Gold Dec Futures has given a breakout above $3700 (~Rs 110,000), the next target would be $3800 (~Rs 113,500). If prices top out and fall below $3650 (~Rs 108,500), then only we could see further profit booking.
  • Silver Nov Future prices have given a breakout above its consolidation range of $41 (~Rs 123,000) and $42 (~Rs 126,000) for the past few days and achieved the target of $43. This rally has more room for upside towards $45 (~Rs 140,000)

Support and Resistance

CommodityMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3650/oz$3800/oz
Indian₹108,500/10 gm₹113,500/10 gm
SilverInternational$42.5/oz$45/oz
Indian₹127,000/kg₹140,000/kg

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