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Precious Metals top out after FED rate cut AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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Following the FED’s rate cut this week, the price of gold and silver has begun to decline. Although the Fed opened the door to additional easing and restarted rate decreases on Wednesday, it temperingly warned of sticky inflation, raising questions about how quickly future easing will proceed.

The U.S. central bank released revised economic projections in conjunction with the policy decision, predicting 1.6% growth this year, 1.8% growth in 2026, and 1.9% growth in 2027.

In reaction to the deteriorating labor market, Fed Chair Jerome Powell described the policy decision as a risk-management cut and stated that the central bank was in a “meeting-by-meeting situation” with regard to the rate outlook.

Technical Triggers 

  • Gold Oct Futures seems to have topped out, and if it sustains below $3700 (~Rs 109,500), then we could only see further profit booking up to $3650(~Rs 108,000) and $3600 (~Rs 106,500). 
  • Silver Nov Futures also seems to have topped out around $43, the next target is $41(~Rs 123,500). Sell on rallies.

    Support and Resistance

    CommoditySupport LevelResistance Level
    International Gold$3650/oz$3750/oz
    Indian Gold₹108,000/10 gm₹110,500/10 gm
    International Silver$41/oz$43/oz
    Indian Silver₹123,500/kg₹130,500/kg

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    International News

    MCX Gold, Silver Rise Despite Global Weakness; US Data, Iran Tensions Keep Bullion Markets On Edge

    While Domestic Gold and Silver Prices Edged Higher On MCX, International Spot Gold Slipped Amid Uncertainty Over US-Iran Negotiations, Inflation Concerns

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    Gold and silver prices witnessed mixed momentum on May 28, with domestic futures on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) trading marginally higher even as international spot gold prices remained under pressure. The divergence reflects cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty surrounding US-Iran peace negotiations, and expectations of tighter monetary policy in the United States.

    MCX gold futures for June delivery rose modestly by Rs. 215 to Rs. 1,57,898 per 10 grams, while silver futures for July delivery gained Rs. 2,000 to trade at Rs. 2,72,628 per kilogram in early trade. The domestic uptick was supported by weakness in the US dollar and cautious positioning ahead of key macroeconomic developments.

    However, global spot gold prices extended losses for a second consecutive session as investors remained wary of the inflationary impact of elevated energy prices and the possibility of prolonged geopolitical instability in the Middle East. Analysts noted that fading hopes of a near-term diplomatic breakthrough between the US and Iran have revived concerns around oil supply disruptions, higher crude prices, and inflation risks — factors that continue to influence precious metals.

    According to market experts, gold has struggled to regain strong upside momentum despite its safe-haven appeal, as rising US bond yields and a firmer dollar have reduced investor appetite for non-yielding assets like bullion. Silver, meanwhile, remained under pressure globally after recent military developments in southern Iran weakened expectations of an immediate resolution to regional tensions.

    Investors are now closely watching key US macroeconomic indicators, including ADP employment figures, GDP growth data, and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation index — the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. These data points are expected to offer fresh direction on the Fed’s interest rate trajectory, which remains a crucial driver for gold and silver prices.

    With geopolitical risks still elevated and inflation concerns persisting, bullion markets are expected to remain volatile in the near term as traders await clearer signals on both diplomacy and monetary policy.

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