International News
Precious Metals top out after FED rate cut AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Following the FED’s rate cut this week, the price of gold and silver has begun to decline. Although the Fed opened the door to additional easing and restarted rate decreases on Wednesday, it temperingly warned of sticky inflation, raising questions about how quickly future easing will proceed.
The U.S. central bank released revised economic projections in conjunction with the policy decision, predicting 1.6% growth this year, 1.8% growth in 2026, and 1.9% growth in 2027.
In reaction to the deteriorating labor market, Fed Chair Jerome Powell described the policy decision as a risk-management cut and stated that the central bank was in a “meeting-by-meeting situation” with regard to the rate outlook.
Technical Triggers
- Gold Oct Futures seems to have topped out, and if it sustains below $3700 (~Rs 109,500), then we could only see further profit booking up to $3650(~Rs 108,000) and $3600 (~Rs 106,500).
- Silver Nov Futures also seems to have topped out around $43, the next target is $41(~Rs 123,500). Sell on rallies.
Support and Resistance
| Commodity | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|
| International Gold | $3650/oz | $3750/oz |
| Indian Gold | ₹108,000/10 gm | ₹110,500/10 gm |
| International Silver | $41/oz | $43/oz |
| Indian Silver | ₹123,500/kg | ₹130,500/kg |
International News
Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector
Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments
Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.
We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:
- Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
- Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
- Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
- Energy Sector Headwinds
Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:
- Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.
Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation
The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.
- US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
- Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.
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