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Precious metals remain elevated on hopes that US data will boost FED rate cut bets AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • The dollar’s decline and the uncertainty surrounding the backlog of official data following the US government’s 43-day reopening have helped gold prices rise 4.8% so far this week.
  • Some of these releases might be lost completely, but others might show up soon, which would raise concerns about the nation’s economic future.
  • The U.S. government has opened, though, and as a result of all these concerns about inflation and the slowdown, there was some decline in silver prices as expectations changed to suggest that the Fed might not be ready to cut rates aggressively.
  • Markets have lowered their estimates for a December Fed rate cut, giving a 25 basis point cut a 50% chance, down from over 95% a month ago. Meanwhile, betting on cuts in 2026 has not altered.

Technical Triggers 

  • Gold continues its upside, crossing $4200, with the next target resistance at $4300 (~Rs 130,000), with support at $4100 (~Rs 123,500)
  • Silver has touched record high prices, crossing $54 (~Rs 164,000). Now the next target resistance lies at $55(~Rs 168,500) and $56 (~Rs 172,000) and support at $52 (~Rs 160,500)

Support and Resistance

CategorySupport LevelResistance Level
International Gold$4100/oz$4300/oz
Indian Gold₹123,500/10 gm₹130,000/10 gm
International Silver$52/oz$56/oz
Indian Silver₹160,500/kg₹172,000/kg

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International News

Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector

Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments

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Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.

We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:

  • Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
  • Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
  • Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
  • Energy Sector Headwinds

Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:

  • Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.

Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation

The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.

  • US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
  • Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.

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