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Precious Metals prices slump on easing geopolitical tensions AIUGMONT BULLION REPORT

Gold and silver prices continued their downward trend as easing geopolitical tensions and expectations of dovish signals from Fed Chair Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium weighed on safe-haven demand. Markets anticipate two rate cuts this year, with the first likely in September, while optimism over a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal further reduced risk premiums.

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  • Concerns over the Russia-Ukraine peace deal and expectations of dovish comments from Fed Chair Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium have caused gold and silver to continue their downward trend due to the likelihood of reducing geopolitical tensions.
  • President Zelensky of Ukraine and Russian President Vladimir Putin may soon meet. The meetings with Donald Trump were hailed by Ukrainian President Zelenskiy, who described them as a major step toward ending the current conflict and opening the door for possible talks with Russian President Putin.
  • However, market players are simultaneously expecting that Powell will clue them in his speech as to whether a rate cut is likely at the meeting in September. Two 25 basis point rate reductions are anticipated this year, according to FED probability, with the first one possibly taking place in September.

Technical Triggers

  • Gold seems to continue its downward trajectory after sustaining below $3400. Next target is $3340 (~Rs 98500), while $3445 (~Rs 100,500) remains the resistance
  • As Silver prices have broken their support of $37.5(~Rs 112,500), prices are expected to fall towards $36.50 (~Rs 109,500).

Support and Resistance

MetalMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3340/oz$3445/oz
Indian₹98,500 / 10 gm₹100,500 / 10 gm
SilverInternational$36.5/oz$39/oz
Indian₹109,500 / kg₹115,000 / kg

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International News

Gold prices climbed above $4,250 ahead US ISM Manufacturing PMI release

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US spot Gold prices climbed above $4,250 early Monday, touching a six-week high as investors turned cautious ahead of the upcoming US ISM Manufacturing PMI release. The yellow metal is poised for further upside momentum if it secures a sustained daily close above the crucial $4,250 resistance level.

The US Dollar opened December on a softer note, pressured by rising expectations that the Federal Reserve may announce a rate cut next week. Growing market confidence in easing monetary conditions has boosted the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.

Analysts note that a decisive break and close above $4,250 could reinforce bullish sentiment and pave the way for an extended rally in the days ahead. As global markets await fresh cues from the US economic calendar, gold continues to benefit from a favorable macroeconomic backdrop and robust safe-haven demand.

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