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Jewellery sector’s growth will be fueled by a younger, diverse clientele: McKinsey & Co luxury fashion report

Jewellery sales are expected to regain momentum with 3% to 5% projected growth. An increasing number of consumers will transition from non-branded to branded jewellery.

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A 2025 luxury fashion report by McKinsey & Co forecasts jewellery and leather goods to be the fastest-growing categories of the luxury goods industry through 2027. The jewellery sector’s growth will be fuelled by a younger and more diverse clientele.

The report notes that in the period 2019-2023, the jewellery category experienced a remarkable 8% CAGR (compound annual growth rate), globally. However, in 2024, growth slowed down between 2% to 4%. This year, jewellery sales are expected to regain momentum with 3% to 5% projected growth, and accelerate to 4% to 6% by 2027.

Jewellery sector’s growth in the next 3 years will be shaped by shifting customer profiles and buying behaviours. An increasing number of consumers will transition from non-branded to branded jewellery.

High jewellery sales are likely to increase in line with the growing number of ultra-high-net-worth individuals worldwide. Moreover, growing interest among younger buyers in genderless jewellery, along with luxury brands investing in technology and immersive experiences will further shape interest among digital natives and new consumers

However, the report cautions that an uncertainty in a clear segregation between lab-grown diamond and natural diamond markets could pose a challenge to this growth.

Key points:

  • Jewellery to grow globally between 4%-6% through 2027: McKinsey & Co.
  • High-jewellery demand to rise as the wealthy population grows worldwide.
  • Global iconic jewellery brands continue to lead growth for luxury conglomerates
  • Diamond-studded jewellery to see the biggest growth in India in 2025: Redseer
  • India’s precious jewellery market to grow at a healthy 11-13% CAGR until 2028
  • Organised jewellery sector in India to grow 20% year-on-year in FY25: Ind-Ra

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Dubai Records Highest-Ever Diamond Trade In 2025

Natural Diamonds Continued To Dominate The Market, Contributing US$39.9 billion, Or 96% Of Dubai’s Total Diamond Trade Value In 2025.

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Dubai achieved a record performance in its diamond trade in 2025, reaching its highest-ever levels in both value and volume, according to the Dubai Multi Commodities Centre (DMCC).

The total value of diamond imports and exports increased 16% year-on-year to US$41.7 billion, up from US$35.8 billion in 2024. Trade volume also surged 43% to 359.5 million carats, marking the first time Dubai has recorded all-time highs in both value and physical volume.

DMCC CEO Ahmed Bin Sulayem said the strong performance reflects Dubai’s long-term strategy of building a transparent, connected, and efficient global hub for the diamond trade. Since 2020, diamond trade through Dubai has doubled in volume and grown nearly 140% in value.

Natural diamonds continued to dominate the market, contributing US$39.9 billion, or 96% of Dubai’s total diamond trade value in 2025.

Trade in rough diamonds reached 205.2 million carats, the second-highest volume on record and around 34% higher than in 2024. The value of natural polished diamond trade rose nearly 25% to US$18.7 billion. Since 2020, the value of natural polished diamond trade through Dubai has increased by 246%.

Over the past decade, Dubai’s overall diamond trade has grown 63% in value and 44% in volume, reinforcing its position as one of the world’s leading diamond trading centres.

The emirate also recorded strong growth in other precious stones. Coloured gemstone trade climbed 48% to a record US$1.1 billion, supported by a 69% increase in imports and a 34% rise in exports. Meanwhile, synthetic and industrial diamonds accounted for around 39% of the total diamond trade volume in 2025.

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