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Jewellery sector’s growth will be fueled by a younger, diverse clientele: McKinsey & Co luxury fashion report

Jewellery sales are expected to regain momentum with 3% to 5% projected growth. An increasing number of consumers will transition from non-branded to branded jewellery.

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A 2025 luxury fashion report by McKinsey & Co forecasts jewellery and leather goods to be the fastest-growing categories of the luxury goods industry through 2027. The jewellery sector’s growth will be fuelled by a younger and more diverse clientele.

The report notes that in the period 2019-2023, the jewellery category experienced a remarkable 8% CAGR (compound annual growth rate), globally. However, in 2024, growth slowed down between 2% to 4%. This year, jewellery sales are expected to regain momentum with 3% to 5% projected growth, and accelerate to 4% to 6% by 2027.

Jewellery sector’s growth in the next 3 years will be shaped by shifting customer profiles and buying behaviours. An increasing number of consumers will transition from non-branded to branded jewellery.

High jewellery sales are likely to increase in line with the growing number of ultra-high-net-worth individuals worldwide. Moreover, growing interest among younger buyers in genderless jewellery, along with luxury brands investing in technology and immersive experiences will further shape interest among digital natives and new consumers

However, the report cautions that an uncertainty in a clear segregation between lab-grown diamond and natural diamond markets could pose a challenge to this growth.

Key points:

  • Jewellery to grow globally between 4%-6% through 2027: McKinsey & Co.
  • High-jewellery demand to rise as the wealthy population grows worldwide.
  • Global iconic jewellery brands continue to lead growth for luxury conglomerates
  • Diamond-studded jewellery to see the biggest growth in India in 2025: Redseer
  • India’s precious jewellery market to grow at a healthy 11-13% CAGR until 2028
  • Organised jewellery sector in India to grow 20% year-on-year in FY25: Ind-Ra

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US Consumers Are Cutting Back Sharply On Discretionary Items Like Jewellery

McKinsey’s findings indicate : 43% of US consumers plan to spend less on jewelry this holiday season, while 39% expect to spend the same, and only 18% plan to spend more. This yields a net spending intent of -25%.

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According to McKinsey & Company’s latest consumer sentiment research (surveyed July 29–August 5), US holiday budgets remain stable, but consumers are cutting back sharply on discretionary items like jewelry.

  • Jewellery Spending Pullback: 43% of US consumers plan to spend less on jewelry this holiday season, while 39% expect to spend the same, and only 18% plan to spend more. This yields a net spending intent of -25%.
  • High Category Risk: Accessories (-30%) and home decor (-32%) recorded the lowest net spending intent across 22 discretionary categories.
  • Overall Holiday Budgets: Across all categories, 47% of consumers plan to match last year’s spending, 23% plan to spend more, and 21% plan to spend less.
  • Bright Spots & Demographics: Gen Z consumers show higher planned spending on jewelry and accessories relative to older generations.

 Bain & Company forecasts

  • Total US holiday sales to rise 4.5% year-over-year to a record $1.016 trillion.
  • In-store sales are projected to grow 2.5%, while non-store (e-commerce) sales are expected to jump 9%.
  • Half of this nominal growth is driven by inflation rather than unit volume.

While macro retail figures point to growth, McKinsey’s findings indicate jewelry retailers face an intense battle for market share against apparel, electronics, and travel. Success will depend on capturing a increasingly selective consumer base.

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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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