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HK watch and jewellery sector continues rebound in October

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Hong Kong’s watch and jewellery sector continued its steady rebound in October, supported by improving domestic sentiment and a strong revival in tourism. Newly released data from the Census and Statistics Department showed that revenue in the jewellery, watches, clocks and valuable gifts category rose 9.5% year-on-year to HKD 4.94 billion (USD 634 million). Although the department does not publish category-wise detail, the headline figures indicate that momentum in the sector has remained firm through the autumn months.

This growth builds on a 9.1% rise in September and a sharp 17.5% surge in August, when the city experienced its seasonal peak in tourist arrivals. However, the stronger performance in recent months has only partly offset the weakness seen earlier in 2024. As a result, cumulative sales for January to October edged up just 0.3%, underscoring the slow recovery trajectory in the first half of the year.

Across all retail categories, Hong Kong recorded a 6.9% increase in sales during October, with electrical goods and consumer durables registering the most significant jump at 24.6%. According to a government spokesperson, the broader retail sector has gained further strength, buoyed by consistent improvements in consumer confidence and robust growth in visitor numbers. These trends, he noted, are expected to continue supporting retail businesses in the months ahead.

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Rising US Inflation Fed Hike Expectations Put Pressure On Gold Prices

The Shift In Interest Rate Expectations Presents A Direct Headwind For Precious Metals. Because Physical Gold Is A Non-Yielding Asset That Does Not Generate Interest Income, Higher Prevailing Interest Rates Elevate The Opportunity Cost Of Holding Bullion Compared To Yield-Bearing Financial Instruments.

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Global gold and bullion markets are experiencing increased selling pressure as accelerating U.S. inflation data reinforces expectations of an imminent interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve.

​Recent macroeconomic reports indicate that U.S. inflation picked up in September, driven by higher consumer expenditure on energy, gasoline, and everyday goods. The persistent inflationary pressure has significantly reshaped market sentiment regarding monetary policy. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders are currently pricing in approximately a 75% probability of a rate increase at the Federal Reserve’s upcoming December meeting. 

​The shift in interest rate expectations presents a direct headwind for precious metals. Because physical gold is a non-yielding asset that does not generate interest income, higher prevailing interest rates elevate the opportunity cost of holding bullion compared to yield-bearing financial instruments. As borrowing costs rise and fixed-income yields become more attractive, institutional and retail capital is increasingly diverted away from gold and toward interest-bearing assets. 

​Market analysts note that while geopolitical uncertainties and inflation traditionally drive safe-haven demand, the prospect of tighter monetary policy and sustained higher interest rates continues to cap short-term upside potential for precious metals.

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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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