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Gold stays strong around $3300 on US fiscal worries AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Amidst persistent concerns about the growing U.S. deficit, gold is still trading at about $3300 thanks to the dollar’s decline, which usually increases the precious metal’s allure as a safe-haven.
  • The Congressional Budget Office estimates the recently enacted US tax bill, which is now headed to the Senate, will cost close to $4 trillion, escalating concerns about long-term fiscal instability.
  • These worries about growing deficits and increased debt servicing costs are highlighted by Moody’s recent lowering of the US credit rating.
  • Gold also benefited earlier this week from heightened geopolitical tensions following allegations that Israel would attack Iranian nuclear sites, which sparked concerns of a wider Middle East conflict.

Technical Triggers  

  • Gold prices are expected to trade in the range of $3275 (~Rs 95000) and $3375(~Rs 96400) in the near term. Either side breakout or breakdown will give 2-3% movement.
  • As suggested yesterday, Silver prices won’t sustain above $34. We saw reversal and profit booking at those levels. Consolidation in this range of $32.5(~Rs 96000) and $34(~Rs 99000) would continue in the near term.

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International News

Precious Metals Rally On US-Iran Ceasefire: Gold Tops $4,850, Silver Jumps To $76

Sharp Rebound Comes From Post-Conflict Lows, As Oil Dipped Below $100 Per Barrel and The Dollar Weakened

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COMEX gold rocketed 3.1% to above $4,850 per ounce in Asian trading, building on yesterday’s 1.2% gain, while silver soared 6.8% to $76.92/oz. The rally followed U.S. President Trump’s announcement of a two-week ceasefire with Iran, halting strikes to negotiate the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran has submitted a 10-point proposal through a Pakistani mediator, with talks scheduled for April 10 in Islamabad. This sharp rebound comes from post-conflict lows, even as oil dipped below $100 per barrel and the dollar weakened—factors that bolster dollar-denominated precious metals.

Since the February conflict began, gold has fallen about 10% overall and silver around 17%, but recent ceasefire hopes and signs of slowing global growth are fueling the recovery, offsetting rate-hike concerns. Volatility lies ahead with an upward bias if safe-haven demand persists and macroeconomic conditions remain supportive. Markets are now awaiting the minutes from the Fed’s March meeting, due on Wednesday.

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