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Gold prices edge  higher on lower interest rate expectations

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Gold prices moved slightly higher during Monday’s Asian trading session, reaching their highest levels in nearlyseven weeks. This upward movement was mainly supported by growing expectations that theUS Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates next year. Lower interest rates generally make gold more attractive, as the metal does not offer interestand becomes less costly to hold when borrowing costs fall.

In addition, ongoing global uncertainty has encouraged investors to seek safe-haven assets, further supporting demand for gold. However, gains remain somewhat limited, as recent hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials have strengthened the US dollar, which can put pressure on dollar-priced commodities such as gold.

Market participants are now closely watching upcoming speeches by Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran and New York Fed President John Williams for further policy signals. Attention will also shift to the US employment data for October and November, due on Tuesday. Key indicators such as Nonfarm Payrolls, average hourly earnings, and the unemployment rate are expected to offer clearer insight into the health of the US labor market and help shape expectations for the Fed’s January policy meeting.

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National News

Gold & Precious Metals – A future outlook

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The session saw a power packed panel of experts that comprisedSurendra Mehta, National Secretary-  IBJA,Ranjith Singh,Head of Business Development, IIBX, Shweta Dhanak, Director – Vijay Exports,S Thirupathi Rajan, MD Goldsmith Academy, Shivanshu Mehta, SVP & Head Bullion-MCX.The session was moderated by Chirag Seth, Principal Consultant, Metals Focus.

Some salient points made by the panelists:

  • Gold prices are not linked to consumer demand. They are linked to central bank buying and ETFs
  • Till the banking system doesn’t collapse, gold price will continue to rise
  • Jewellers were advised to use a mix of futures and options for risk mitigation
  • Given the current situation manufacturers selling on credit or unfavorable deals could be fatal flaw for business.
  • Precious metals forecast: Surendra Mehta said he sees gold in 2026 in $4900-5100 range and silver in $90-105.Looking further he said by 2030-2035 gold could touch $18000- 20000 and silver could reach $500. Chirag Seth predicted silver touching $105 this year and gold moving in the $ 5200- $ 5500.

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