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GOLD price trades in positive territory near $4,185

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GOLD price trades in positive territory near $4,185 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal drifts higher as traders anticipate that the reopening of the US government will restore the flow of economic data and reinforce bets of further US interest rate cuts.

A record shutdown in US history ended on Thursday after Trump signed a funding bill to reopen the government. The House of Representatives approved the bill earlier Thursday in a 222-209 vote, with nearly every Republican and a handful of Democrats voting for it. The expectation that US economic data released after the end of the shutdown will reveal US labor market weakness could weigh on the US Dollar (USD) and lift the USD-denominated commodity price in the near term.

Any pullback in Gold will likely be short-lived as markets continue to predict an 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) next month, according to 80% of economists polled by Reuters.

Looking ahead, Gold traders will continue to closely scrutinize speeches from Fed officials as the central bank appears divided on the next rate move amid weakening labor market conditions and the inflation dilemma.

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National News

Gold & Precious Metals – A future outlook

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The session saw a power packed panel of experts that comprisedSurendra Mehta, National Secretary-  IBJA,Ranjith Singh,Head of Business Development, IIBX, Shweta Dhanak, Director – Vijay Exports,S Thirupathi Rajan, MD Goldsmith Academy, Shivanshu Mehta, SVP & Head Bullion-MCX.The session was moderated by Chirag Seth, Principal Consultant, Metals Focus.

Some salient points made by the panelists:

  • Gold prices are not linked to consumer demand. They are linked to central bank buying and ETFs
  • Till the banking system doesn’t collapse, gold price will continue to rise
  • Jewellers were advised to use a mix of futures and options for risk mitigation
  • Given the current situation manufacturers selling on credit or unfavorable deals could be fatal flaw for business.
  • Precious metals forecast: Surendra Mehta said he sees gold in 2026 in $4900-5100 range and silver in $90-105.Looking further he said by 2030-2035 gold could touch $18000- 20000 and silver could reach $500. Chirag Seth predicted silver touching $105 this year and gold moving in the $ 5200- $ 5500.

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