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Gold price struggles to capitalize on intraday gains amid receding Fed rate cut bets

Concerns about Trump’s trade tariff and a modest USD weakness underpin the XAU/USD pair.

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Gold price (XAU/USD) builds on the previous day’s bounce from the $2,864 region touched in reaction to hotter US consumer inflation figures and gains some follow-through positive traction for the second straight day on Thursday. A fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields exerts downward pressure on the US Dollar (USD), which, in turn, is seen benefiting the USD-denominated commodity. Apart from this, worries about US President Donald Trump’s tariffs and a global trade war underpin the safe-haven bullion.

Meanwhile, the hotter US consumer inflation figures released on Wednesday reaffirmed market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its hawkish stance and hold interest rates steady for an extended period. This could act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and the Greenback, which, in turn, acts as a headwind for the non-yielding Gold price amid still-overbought conditions on the daily chart. Traders now look forward to the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for some meaningful impetus.

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International News

Platinum Market Demonstrates Strong Resilience With Price Recovery

Rebound In Platinum Prices Is Primarily Attributed To Softer U.S. Dollar Sentiment and Declining Treasury Yields

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Global commodities markets are observing a significant shift in precious metals, as platinum (XPL) demonstrates a robust price recovery following a stabilization period in key support zones. The asset class is currently experiencing a constructive short-term upward trajectory, heavily influenced by shifting macroeconomic indicators and evolving geopolitical dynamics.

Strategic Market Drivers

The recent rebound in platinum prices is primarily attributed to a confluence of favorable macroeconomic factors, including softer U.S. dollar sentiment and declining Treasury yields. This capital reallocation toward precious metals has been further accelerated by a preliminary U.S.- Iran peace agreement. The geopolitical breakthrough has effectively mitigated energy inflation anxieties, providing a tailwind for industrial and precious commodities alike.

From a technical perspective, platinum has successfully established a firm baseline within the $1,650–$1,750 support corridor. Current market momentum indicates a near-term progression toward the $1,850–$1,900 resistance zone.

Outlook and Risk Assessment

While current indicators support a bullish short-term structure, institutional analysts emphasize that the asset’s mid-to-long-term trajectory remains contingent upon upcoming regulatory and macroeconomic milestones.

The impending Federal Reserve policy decision serves as a critical focal point for the market. Stakeholders are advised to monitor the following primary risk factors that could impact market consolidation or trigger a breakout:

  1. Monetary Policy Signalling: A hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve could strengthen the U.S. dollar, potentially capping platinum’s upward momentum.
  1. Industrial Demand: As a dual-use asset, platinum’s long-term valuation remains closely tied to global industrial manufacturing output.
  1. Technical Breakouts: Sustained price action above the $1,900 threshold will be required to validate a broader macro-rally toward the next institutional target of $2,170.
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