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Gold price struggles to capitalize on intraday gains amid receding Fed rate cut bets

Concerns about Trump’s trade tariff and a modest USD weakness underpin the XAU/USD pair.

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Gold price (XAU/USD) builds on the previous day’s bounce from the $2,864 region touched in reaction to hotter US consumer inflation figures and gains some follow-through positive traction for the second straight day on Thursday. A fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields exerts downward pressure on the US Dollar (USD), which, in turn, is seen benefiting the USD-denominated commodity. Apart from this, worries about US President Donald Trump’s tariffs and a global trade war underpin the safe-haven bullion.

Meanwhile, the hotter US consumer inflation figures released on Wednesday reaffirmed market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its hawkish stance and hold interest rates steady for an extended period. This could act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and the Greenback, which, in turn, acts as a headwind for the non-yielding Gold price amid still-overbought conditions on the daily chart. Traders now look forward to the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for some meaningful impetus.

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International News

Israel’s Diamond Industry Hits Record Lows

From January To June 2026, Israel Exported Only $2.4 Billion In Diamonds. At Its Peak In 2015, That Figure Was Around $7 Billion—More Than Three Times Higher.

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Israel’s diamond exports have dropped dramatically to their lowest levels in history. Reflecting these difficult times, the head of the Israel Diamond Exchange has announced his resignation.

Key Numbers

  • Massive Drop in Exports: From January to June 2026, Israel exported only $2.4 billion in diamonds. At its peak in 2015, that figure was around $7 billion—more than three times higher.
  • Total Trade Shrinking: Total industry trade (combining imports and exports) fell to $4 billion, down from $12 billion during its best years.

Why Is the Industry Struggling?

  1. Competition from Dubai: Dubai has become a major global diamond hub, drawing traders away from Israel with lower tax rates.
  2. Lab-Grown Diamonds: Man-made diamonds are significantly cheaper than natural ones, taking away a large portion of the market.
  3. New U.S. Tariffs: A new 10% import tax on diamonds was recently introduced by U.S. President Donald Trump. Since the U.S. buys about 20% of Israel’s diamond exports, this tax hits the local industry hard.
  4. Shifting Consumer Habits: Younger buyers are spending more money on experiences rather than luxury jewelry. Additionally, diamond demand in China has slowed down significantly.

Global Impact & What’s Next

The downturn isn’t just affecting Israel; it is a global issue. Even De Beers—one of the world’s biggest diamond companies—has been put up for sale for the first time ever.

Despite these setbacks, Israel still holds key advantages in the market, such as strong client relationships and deep expertise in cutting large, rare, and colored diamonds. Israeli officials are currently negotiating with the U.S. to lower the new tariffs and working with their own government for tax relief to help the industry bounce back.

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