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Gold price struggles to capitalize on intraday gains amid receding Fed rate cut bets

Concerns about Trump’s trade tariff and a modest USD weakness underpin the XAU/USD pair.

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Gold price (XAU/USD) builds on the previous day’s bounce from the $2,864 region touched in reaction to hotter US consumer inflation figures and gains some follow-through positive traction for the second straight day on Thursday. A fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields exerts downward pressure on the US Dollar (USD), which, in turn, is seen benefiting the USD-denominated commodity. Apart from this, worries about US President Donald Trump’s tariffs and a global trade war underpin the safe-haven bullion.

Meanwhile, the hotter US consumer inflation figures released on Wednesday reaffirmed market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its hawkish stance and hold interest rates steady for an extended period. This could act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and the Greenback, which, in turn, acts as a headwind for the non-yielding Gold price amid still-overbought conditions on the daily chart. Traders now look forward to the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for some meaningful impetus.

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International News

Precious Metals Gain As Crude Prices Weaken

Slumping Crude Prices and A Weaker Greenback Offer Support To Gold and Silver, Even As Federal Reserve Interest-Rate Uncertainty Looms

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Gold and silver prices edged higher on Monday morning, finding support in a softening U.S. dollar and a sharp retreat in global energy prices after President Donald Trump announced that Washington would enter diplomatic talks with Tehran.

The prospect of a diplomatic breakthrough in the Middle East provided immediate relief to global markets, driving crude oil benchmarks down more than 5% to trade near $83 per barrel. The decline in energy costs helped alleviate broader fears of persistent, energy-driven inflation, while the U.S. Dollar Index slipped 0.50% to 99.42—falling below the key 100 mark and making dollar-denominated bullion more attractive to international buyers.

On India’s Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures for October delivery traded up 0.13% at Rs 1,43,557 per 10 grams during early deals. Silver futures for September delivery rose 0.40% to Rs 2,18,061 per kilogram.

The market shift follows statements from President Trump over the weekend indicating that discussions with Iranian officials would take place on Monday. While Mr. Trump set no firm deadline for an agreement, the move raised hopes for a resolution regarding the impasse over Iran’s nuclear ambitions and a potential agreement to guarantee safe passage through the vital Strait of Hormuz.

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