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Gold price struggles to capitalize on intraday gains amid receding Fed rate cut bets

Concerns about Trump’s trade tariff and a modest USD weakness underpin the XAU/USD pair.

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Gold price (XAU/USD) builds on the previous day’s bounce from the $2,864 region touched in reaction to hotter US consumer inflation figures and gains some follow-through positive traction for the second straight day on Thursday. A fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields exerts downward pressure on the US Dollar (USD), which, in turn, is seen benefiting the USD-denominated commodity. Apart from this, worries about US President Donald Trump’s tariffs and a global trade war underpin the safe-haven bullion.

Meanwhile, the hotter US consumer inflation figures released on Wednesday reaffirmed market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its hawkish stance and hold interest rates steady for an extended period. This could act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and the Greenback, which, in turn, acts as a headwind for the non-yielding Gold price amid still-overbought conditions on the daily chart. Traders now look forward to the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for some meaningful impetus.

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International News

MCX Gold Higher On Ceasefire Hopes, Crude Oil Price Dip

Globally, A Softer US Dollar and Sliding Energy Prices Provided A Strong Tailwind For Precious Metals

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Renewed expectations of a diplomatic resolution to Middle Eastern conflicts sent ripples through the commodities market on June 3. On the MCX, June gold futures rose 0.26% to Rs. 1,58,930 per 10 grams, while July silver futures saw a modest 0.07% bump to Rs. 2,63,150 per kg. Conversely, physical retail gold saw a marginal dip, with 24K gold landing at Rs. 1,56,110 per 10 grams in Mumbai and Kolkata, Rs. 1,56,260 in Delhi, and Rs. 1,57,970 in Chennai.

Globally, a softer US dollar and sliding energy prices provided a strong tailwind for precious metals on Thursday. Spot gold advanced 0.4% to $4,450.16 per ounce, while August futures settled at $4,477. In contrast, crude benchmarks trended downward as geopolitical risks premium eased; Brent crude fell 0.85% to $96.87 a barrel, and WTI dropped 0.95% to $95.11. Other precious metals also closed in positive territory, with spot silver, platinum, and palladium gaining 0.8%, 0.2%, and 0.5% respectively.

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