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Gold price struggles to capitalize on intraday gains amid receding Fed rate cut bets

Concerns about Trump’s trade tariff and a modest USD weakness underpin the XAU/USD pair.

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Gold price (XAU/USD) builds on the previous day’s bounce from the $2,864 region touched in reaction to hotter US consumer inflation figures and gains some follow-through positive traction for the second straight day on Thursday. A fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields exerts downward pressure on the US Dollar (USD), which, in turn, is seen benefiting the USD-denominated commodity. Apart from this, worries about US President Donald Trump’s tariffs and a global trade war underpin the safe-haven bullion.

Meanwhile, the hotter US consumer inflation figures released on Wednesday reaffirmed market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its hawkish stance and hold interest rates steady for an extended period. This could act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and the Greenback, which, in turn, acts as a headwind for the non-yielding Gold price amid still-overbought conditions on the daily chart. Traders now look forward to the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for some meaningful impetus.

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International News

US Spot Gold Rebounds Above $4,700

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Gold prices in the U.S. have moved back above $4,700 per ounce, with spot gold trading near $4,750 on Thursday, May 7, 2026. This marks a gain of over 1% in a single day, following its strongest rise in more than five weeks on Wednesday.

Although gold is still around 15% below its record high of nearly $5,595 per ounce, reached in January 2026, prices remain much higher than the $4,300–$4,400 support range seen during the market decline in late March.

Gold has been trading in a narrow range since the Iran conflict began in late February. During that period, prices dropped by more than 10% as rising oil prices increased inflation concerns, forcing the U.S. Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged and pushing Treasury yields higher.

Now, market conditions are changing. Oil prices are easing, bond yields are falling, and investors are returning to gold, making it more attractive again.

Three main factors are supporting the recent rise in gold prices:

1. Falling U.S. Treasury yields:
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond has dropped from around 4.4%, reducing the cost of holding gold. Since gold does not pay interest, lower bond yields make it a more attractive investment.

2. A weaker U.S. dollar:
A softer dollar generally helps gold prices, as it makes gold cheaper for buyers using other currencies.

3. Optimism over U.S.–Iran talks:
Renewed hopes of diplomacy between the U.S. and Iran have improved market sentiment, adding support to gold prices.

With Treasury yields easing and inflation fears cooling, one of the biggest pressures on gold since March is beginning to fade.

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