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Gold and Silver retreat from highs on profit booking AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • A record climb towards $3640 (~Rs 107,200) has caused gold to see some profitbooking, halting its longest winning run since March but keeping it close to record highs due to rising demand for safe haven assets and anticipation of US monetary easing.
  • A potential Supreme Court battle was set in motion on Wednesday when the Trump administration challenged a court decision that invalidated the majority of his international tariffs. Gold and silver continued to be supported by these additional uncertainties, which also included anxieties about debt and the independence of the Federal Reserve.
  • In the meantime, July statistics revealed a greater-than-anticipated decline in US job postings, indicating a worse labour market and supporting speculation of a possible rate decrease in September. For more hints on economic momentum and Fed policy, investors are now waiting for Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report, ADP employment data, and US unemployment claims.

Technical Triggers 

  • Gold and Silver prices have achieved all short-term targets; prices are expected to continue their profit-booking and consolidation after a sharp run-up.

    Support and Resistance

    CommoditySupport LevelResistance Level
    International Gold$3500/oz$3650/oz
    Indian Gold₹103,500 / 10 gm₹107,500 / 10 gm
    International Silver$40.40/oz$43/oz
    Indian Silver₹123,000 / kg₹130,000 / kg

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    International News

    Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector

    Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments

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    Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.

    We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:

    • Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
    • Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
    • Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
    • Energy Sector Headwinds

    Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:

    • Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.

    Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation

    The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.

    • US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
    • Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.

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