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Gold and Silver Decline As Crude Surges

Domestic Gold and Silver Markets Saw Heavy Selling Pressure On Friday

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Commodities and currency markets experienced high volatility today as investors weighed a complex mix of escalating Middle East tensions, ongoing peace talks, and uncertain U.S. monetary policy.

Despite a dramatic two-day exchange of missile strikes between the U.S. and Iran in the strategic Strait of Hormuz—which severely slowed shipping traffic—both nations have signaled a willingness to continue diplomatic negotiations. However, the temporary threat to energy infrastructure has kept the broader markets on edge.

Domestic gold and silver markets saw heavy selling pressure on Friday, driven by cooling safe-haven demand as investors bet on continued U.S.-Iran diplomacy.

MCX Gold: The domestic benchmark dropped sharply by over Rs.1,030, settling near Rs.1,44,270 per 10 grams. Analysts note that gold is facing immediate support in the Rs.1,43,000–Rs.1,44,000 range, with technical resistance holding at Rs.1,45,000–Rs.1,45,500.

MCX Silver: Silver underperformed the broader bullion sector, crashing by 1.5% (a drop of over Rs.3,300) to trade around Rs.2,23,050 per kg.

Global Spot Markets: International markets showed a distinct decoupling. While Spot Gold edged slightly lower to $4,118 per ounce, Spot Silver defied the domestic trend, gaining nearly 1% to trade above $60 per ounce.

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Gold prices in India extend recovery on softer U.S. dollar, easing Treasury yields, lower crude oil prices.

Market participants attributed the firming metal prices to a pause in U.S. yield gains following strong demand at the latest 30-year U.S. Treasury auction, which relieved pressure on non-yielding assets.

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Gold prices in India extended their recovery on Saturday, with 24-carat gold climbing back above the 151,000 rupee mark per 10 grams, supported by a softer U.S. dollar, easing Treasury yields, and lower crude oil prices.

The domestic benchmark rate for 24K gold rose by 710 rupees, or approximately 0.47%, to 151,420 rupees per 10 grams. For bulk purchases, 100 grams of 24K gold stood at 1,514,200 rupees, up 7,100 rupees from the previous session.

Jewellery-grade 22K gold advanced by 650 rupees to 138,800 rupees per 10 grams, while 18K gold climbed 540 rupees to hit 113,570 rupees per 10 grams. Per sovereign (8 grams), 24K gold traded at 121,136 rupees and 22K gold at 111,040 rupees.

The rebound follows a volatile week for bullion. Over the past four sessions, 24K gold has climbed nearly 1.5%, gaining roughly 2,240 rupees from 149,180 rupees on Oct. 6. On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures rebounded above 151,000 rupees after dipping toward the 149,000 rupee level earlier in the week.

In international markets, spot gold traded near $4,174.78 an ounce after recovering from $4,118.63 in the previous session and briefly breaching $4,200. International spot silver surged over 2% to trade around $60.40 an ounce, driving domestic silver rates in India to approximately 235,000 rupees per kilogram.

Market participants attributed the firming metal prices to a pause in U.S. yield gains following strong demand at the latest 30-year U.S. Treasury auction, which relieved pressure on non-yielding assets.

However, analysts warned that near-term gains may remain capped due to expectations surrounding Federal Reserve monetary policy.The key constraint is the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, with policymakers signaling that further tightening may be necessary to bring inflation back to target.

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