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Domestic Gold Futures Decline On Weak Spot Demand and A Stronger US Dollar

International bullion remains on track for a positive monthly close.Geopolitical tensions, safe-haven interest, and US interest-rate expectations continue to floor global prices.

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Domestic gold futures dipped to Rs. 1,44,022 per 10g under pressure from weak spot demand and a stronger US dollar. In contrast, physical spot gold in Delhi’s retail market edged up by Rs. 300 to reach Rs. 1,48,300 per 10g, bolstered by fresh buying from retailers and jewellers. Meanwhile, domestic silver (inclusive of taxes) held firm and unchanged at Rs. 2,24,700 per kg, reflecting range-bound trading amid mixed market cues.

Domestic Strength vs. Futures Pressure

  • Spot Demand Near Highs: Domestic physical gold hovered near record levels, getting a boost from fresh retail purchases and jeweller demand in Delhi.
  • Futures Soften: MCX/Domestic futures experienced downward pressure driven by a stronger US dollar and localized spot weakness.

2. Global Bullion Dynamics

  • First Monthly Gain in 5 Months: Despite mild profit-taking, international bullion remains on track for a positive monthly close.
  • Core Support: Geopolitical tensions, safe-haven interest, and US interest-rate expectations continue to floor global prices.

3. Macro Headwinds: Crude Oil & US Data

  • Crude Oil Rebound: Rising Brent and WTI prices revived broader inflation worries, dampening investor risk appetite for gold and capping upside potential.
  • Fed Rate Triggers: Markets are sitting tight ahead of crucial US economic indicators, specifically consumer sentiment, inflation expectations, and employment cost data.
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Gold-Backed Lending Surges A Staggering 94% y-o-y

A dramatic expansion in gold-backed credit and heavy-industry borrowing drove total bank credit past Rs 219 lakh crore in the June quarter

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A dramatic surge in gold-backed borrowing combined with a revival in heavy industrial credit powered a sharp acceleration in Indian bank lending during the first quarter of fiscal 2027, signaling robust credit appetite across both household and corporate balance sheets.

Overall bank credit climbed 18.6% year-over-year to cross Rs 219.3 lakh crore by the end of June 2026, according to banking data. The growth was largely anchored by an unprecedented appetite for personal loans secured by gold, alongside the strongest first-quarter corporate borrowing trend in recent years.

Gold Loans Lead Retail Expansion

Gold-backed lending expanded by a staggering 93.8% year-over-year at the close of June. Lenders added Rs 74,171 crore in gold loans during the April–June quarter alone, pushing the banking system’s total gold-loan book to Rs 5.4 lakh crore.

The rush toward gold loans—a traditional fallback that has increasingly moved into formal banking channels—accounted for 13.1% of the Rs 5 lakh crore in total incremental non-food credit extended over the three-month period. That surge helped lift total non-food credit outstanding across the country to Rs 219.4 lakh crore.

Heavy Industry Rebounds

Alongside household borrowing, industrial demand saw a marked resurgence. Credit to the industrial sector jumped 19.2% year-over-year—its fastest first-quarter pace in recent history—adding Rs 1.9 lakh crore in new loans to take the overall industrial portfolio to Rs 47.7 lakh crore.

  • Medium Enterprises: Led the corporate pack in growth rate, expanding advances by 30% to reach Rs 4.7 lakh crore.
  • Large Corporations: Continued to absorb the bulk of capital, growing 16.6% to Rs 32.2 lakh crore.

The quarterly corporate expansion was concentrated in capital-intensive sectors. Petroleum, power, and engineering each recorded loan book expansions of around Rs 25,000 crore. Together, these three sectors generated 41% of all incremental bank credit extended during the quarter, underscoring renewed capital expenditure and operational funding in India’s core infrastructure and energy segments.

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