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WGC Outlook 2026: Geopolitics, Growth Risks and Rate Shifts to Steer Gold’s Next Move

Gold’s 2026 trajectory hinges on economic shifts, policy outcomes and global stability, says the latest WGC outlook.

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Gold is up by more than 60% y-t-d and is gearing up to have one of its strongest annual performances in decades.  Investment demand has been one of the key drivers, in response to a highly charged geopolitical environment, a weaker US dollar, and positive price momentum. At the same time, central bank demand remains strong.  Combined, their effect has more than offset any weakness seen in jewellery.

Looking to 2026, the outlook is shaped by ongoing geoeconomic uncertainty.  The gold price today reflects consensus expectations for next year, but the global economy rarely ever plays out as planned.

Against this backdrop, our analysis shows that:

If economic growth slows and interest rates fall more than expected next year, gold could see gains between 5% and 15%.

In a more severe downturn marked by rising global risks, gold could see a marked increase between 15% and 30%.

Conversely, a successful outcome from policies set by the Trump administration would accelerate economic growth, reduce risk and push gold down between 5% and 20%.

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DiamondBuzz

Diamond Slump forces Debswana to diversify into copper, platinum and solar

Diamond-centric mining models is giving way to broader resource portfolios

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Debswana Diamond Company, the 50–50 joint venture between the Botswana government and De Beers, is moving to diversify into copper, platinum and renewable energy as the prolonged downturn in natural diamond demand pressures earnings and forces the industry to rethink its growth strategy.

The company’s board has approved plans to invest in a portfolio of non-diamond projects after revenue fell 46% in 2024, the latest available financial year, highlighting the scale of the downturn in the global diamond market.

The move signals a strategic shift toward commodities with stronger long-term demand fundamentals, particularly copper, which is central to global electrification and energy-transition infrastructure.

Debswana’s diversification reflects a broader industry pivot as diamond producers confront weak consumer demand, rising competition from lab-grown stones and elevated inventories across the supply chain.

The shift is also visible among smaller exploration companies. Botswana Diamonds recently rebranded as Botswana Minerals, signalling its own strategic focus on copper exploration rather than diamonds.

Together, these moves underscore a growing consensus across the sector: the era of diamond-centric mining models is giving way to broader resource portfolios anchored in energy-transition metals.

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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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