International News
Precious metals subdued on strong US Jobs data AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- A better-than-expected U.S. jobs data has strengthened predictions that the Federal Reserve would not lower interest rates at its December meeting, which has caused precious metals to trade mutedly.
- The highly anticipated U.S. Labour Department report, which was postponed due to the federal government shutdown, revealed that nonfarm payrolls climbed by 119,000 in September—more than twice the projected gain of 50,000.
- The Fed lowered interest rates despite members’ warnings that doing so could jeopardise persistent inflation and erode public confidence in the US central bank, according to minutes from the Fed’s October meeting that were made public on Wednesday.
- The Cleveland Beth Hammack, the president of the Federal Reserve, cautioned on Thursday that further rate cuts at this time pose a number of economic dangers. There is a chance that asset prices will drop excessively, according to Fed Governor Lisa Cook.
Technical Triggers
- Gold has been trading in the range of $4000 (~Rs 121,000) and $4150 (~Rs 125,000). Buy on dips around support and sell on rallies around resistance.
- Silver has been trading in the range of $49 (~Rs 150,000) to $53 (~Rs 160,000). Buy on dips around support and sell on rallies around resistance.
Support and Resistance
| Commodity | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|
| International Gold | $4000/oz | $4150/oz |
| Indian Gold | ₹121,000/10 gm | ₹125,000/10 gm |
| International Silver | $49/oz | $53/oz |
| Indian Silver | ₹150,000/kg | ₹160,000/kg |
International News
MCX Gold, Silver Rise Despite Global Weakness; US Data, Iran Tensions Keep Bullion Markets On Edge
While Domestic Gold and Silver Prices Edged Higher On MCX, International Spot Gold Slipped Amid Uncertainty Over US-Iran Negotiations, Inflation Concerns
Gold and silver prices witnessed mixed momentum on May 28, with domestic futures on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) trading marginally higher even as international spot gold prices remained under pressure. The divergence reflects cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty surrounding US-Iran peace negotiations, and expectations of tighter monetary policy in the United States.
MCX gold futures for June delivery rose modestly by Rs. 215 to Rs. 1,57,898 per 10 grams, while silver futures for July delivery gained Rs. 2,000 to trade at Rs. 2,72,628 per kilogram in early trade. The domestic uptick was supported by weakness in the US dollar and cautious positioning ahead of key macroeconomic developments.
However, global spot gold prices extended losses for a second consecutive session as investors remained wary of the inflationary impact of elevated energy prices and the possibility of prolonged geopolitical instability in the Middle East. Analysts noted that fading hopes of a near-term diplomatic breakthrough between the US and Iran have revived concerns around oil supply disruptions, higher crude prices, and inflation risks — factors that continue to influence precious metals.
According to market experts, gold has struggled to regain strong upside momentum despite its safe-haven appeal, as rising US bond yields and a firmer dollar have reduced investor appetite for non-yielding assets like bullion. Silver, meanwhile, remained under pressure globally after recent military developments in southern Iran weakened expectations of an immediate resolution to regional tensions.
Investors are now closely watching key US macroeconomic indicators, including ADP employment figures, GDP growth data, and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation index — the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. These data points are expected to offer fresh direction on the Fed’s interest rate trajectory, which remains a crucial driver for gold and silver prices.
With geopolitical risks still elevated and inflation concerns persisting, bullion markets are expected to remain volatile in the near term as traders await clearer signals on both diplomacy and monetary policy.
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