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Precious metals fall on reduced rate cut bets AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
  • Gold and silver experience steep selloffs, as investors wait for hints on the Federal Reserve’s policy course from a succession of US economic data releases this week, marking the fourth straight session of losses amid waning hopes for a US interest rate cut.
  • A rate cut in December has become less likely due to the absence of US data over the last six weeks and hawkish comments made by a number of Fed officials.
  • Thursday’s September Nonfarm payroll data will be eagerly watched by traders for clues about the state of the US economy, and the Fed’s most recent meeting minutes will be released on Wednesday to offer more rate direction. The market’s implied probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has dropped from nearly 60% earlier this month to 43% now.
  • However, structural tailwinds such as geopolitical unpredictability, worries about the sustainability of US debt, de-dollarisation trends, and central bank purchases are anticipated to sustain investment demand for gold and silver throughout the medium and long term.

Technical Triggers 

  • Gold has broken an important support of $4050; the next target support is $3950 (~Rs 120,000).
  • Silver has broken the important support of $50, the next target support level is around $48.5(~Rs 150,000) and $47(~Rs 145,000).

Support and Resistance

CategorySupport LevelResistance Level
International Gold$3950/oz$4050/oz
Indian Gold₹120,000/10gm₹122,000/10gm
International Silver$52/oz$50.5/oz
Indian Silver₹150,000/kg₹153,500/kg
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International News

Candidates From India, China and The UAE Running For President Of The WFDB

The Election Reflects Power Shifts In The Trade As Well As Open Questions About The WFDB’s Character and Future.

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Three candidates from India, China and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) are running for president of the World Federation of Diamond Bourses (WFDB) in an election that reveals contrasting approaches to the organization and the industry. s (WFDB) in an election that reveals contrasting approaches to the organization and the industry.

Bharat Diamond Bourse (BDB) vice president Mehul Shah, Shanghai Diamond Exchange (SDE) president Lin Qiang, and Dubai Diamond Exchange (DDE) chairman Ahmed Bin Sulayem have put their names forward ahead. Israel’s Yoram Dvash is standing down after completing the maximum two three-year terms.

The key theme is a split between preserving the federation’s traditional, experience-led model and pushing a younger, reform-minded approach.

Candidate positions

Mehul Shah is presented as the continuity candidate: he wants to strengthen the federation, add members, and restore its earlier influence, but he argues that younger leaders should first gain experience in junior roles.

Ahmed Bin Sulayem is linked with a reformist, younger-leaning camp that wants fresh leadership and modernization, with David Troostwyk and Molefi Letsiki on the same informal slate.

Lin Qiang’s role is more institutionally grounded, with recent WFDB and Shanghai ties showing China’s growing involvement in the federation’s outreach and industry strategy.

Industry context

The election is happening against broader concern about the WFDB’s relevance as lab-grown diamonds reshape the market and as influence shifts toward bodies like the World Diamond Council.

WFDB leadership tracker: track the Executive Committee, presidential election rules, and potential future candidates from India, China, and the UAE.

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