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India’s Gems and Jewellery Market Set to Reach USD 168.62 Billion by 2030

A robust 8.93% CAGR drives growth, fueled by cultural significance, evolving consumer trends, and rising demand.

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India’s gems and jewellery industry is poised for substantial growth, with projections indicating a market value of USD 168.62 billion by 2030, according to a recent report by Research and Markets. The report, India Gems and Jewelry Market, By Region, Competition, Forecast & Opportunities, 2020-2030F, highlights an impressive compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.93%, which is driving the industry’s rapid expansion.

Jewellery holds immense cultural significance in India, where it is regarded not only as a symbol of tradition but also as a valuable financial asset. The wedding sector remains the largest demand driver, accounting for nearly half of total market sales, with festivals like Diwali and Akshaya Tritiya also playing a vital role in bolstering gold and jewellery purchases as symbols of prosperity.

Despite this growth, the market faces challenges such as fluctuating gold prices and high import costs for materials like diamonds and platinum. The sector’s dependence on imports makes it vulnerable to global economic shifts and geopolitical uncertainties. Additionally, regulatory policies and import duties continue to impact the industry’s dynamics.

Consumer preferences are shifting, with younger buyers and working professionals increasingly opting for lightweight and contemporary jewellery designs. There is a growing demand for 14K and 18K gold pieces, which reflects a trend toward practicality and modernity. This shift is driving innovations that blend traditional craftsmanship with current design trends.

As India’s jewellery sector remains led by established players like Rajesh Exports Limited, Malabar Gold Private Limited, Titan Company Limited, and Kalyan Jewellers India Limited, the industry is expected to continue its upward growth trajectory, reinforcing India’s position as a global leader in the gems and jewellery manufacturing and export market.

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National News

Gold loan NBFC stocks face pressure as gold prices decline

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Gold loan NBFC stocks faced pressure as gold prices crashed, with Muthoot Finance and Manappuram Finance dropping 3% and 1.45%. Despite recent declines, both stocks show solid year-to-date gains of around 49% and 50%, respectively. Shares of Muthoot Finance slipped 4.29 percent to Rs 3,134.20 apiece on the NSE. The stock has declined for three straight sessions, losing nearly 6 percent during the period. Manappuram Finance also fell 2.8 percent to Rs 277.90 per share.

Gold prices eased for the third consecutive day as investors booked profits after a recent rally. Globally, the metal edged lower towards the $4,000-an-ounce mark amid concerns that its sharp gains had become overstretched. Weakness in gold prices typically weighs on gold financing companies as the value of collateral declines, impacting loan margins. Short-term challenges include potential slowdowns in loan disbursements and temporary margin pressure.

Gold loan NBFC stocks are facing pressure as gold prices have declined for three consecutive days. Muthoot Finance dropped 4.29% to Rs 3,134.20, losing nearly 6% over three sessions, while Manappuram Finance fell 2.8% to Rs 277.90. This decline comes as investors booked profits after gold’s recent rally toward the $4,000-an-ounce mark, with concerns that prices had become overstretched.

The connection between falling gold prices and these stocks is straightforward. Gold loan NBFCs lend money using gold jewelry as collateral, typically advancing around 75% of the gold’s value. When gold prices fall, the collateral backing their existing loans becomes less valuable, which squeezes their safety margins and creates potential risks. They may need to ask borrowers for additional collateral or close out some positions if the loan-to-value ratios become unfavorable.

Beyond the immediate risk concerns, falling gold prices also hurt the growth prospects of these companies. Lower prices mean they can only disburse smaller loans against the same quantity of gold, which directly impacts their ability to grow their loan books. Additionally, customers become hesitant to pledge their gold when prices are declining, preferring to wait for better valuations. This combination reduces both the size and volume of new loans.

However, the recent decline needs to be viewed in context. Despite the current pressure, both Muthoot Finance and Manappuram Finance are still showing impressive year-to-date gains of around 49-50%. This means the recent weakness represents a modest correction within a much larger uptrend. The stocks have performed exceptionally well throughout the year, and this pullback follows a period of strong gains.

Looking ahead, the key question is whether gold prices will stabilize or continue declining. Short-term challenges include potential slowdowns in loan disbursements and temporary margin pressure. However, gold loan NBFCs have weathered gold price volatility before, and their business model remains fundamentally sound with typically low non-performing assets. India’s deep cultural connection to gold ensures sustained demand for gold-backed financing regardless of short-term price movements. For investors, this situation could represent either a buying opportunity or a warning sign, depending on their view of gold’s longer-term trajectory.

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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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