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Indecisive movement continues in precious metals-AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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● A weaker US currency and falling Treasury yields helped gold bounce back to $3350. However, the rationale against rate cuts was questioned by June’s low consumer confidence, which sparked worries about the labour market and trade policy.

● Despite political pressure, Fed Chair Jerome Powell remained cautious during his second day of testimony, stating that the Fed can control inflation brought on by tariffs but is not yet prepared to lower rates.

● To curtail Tehran’s nuclear program and ease Middle East tensions, US and Iranian officials are scheduled to meet next week. This comes as geopolitical tensions are beginning to ease. Although the ceasefire between Israel and Iran seemed to be holding, questions remained about how long it would last.
Technical Triggers
● If gold prices hold below $3330 (~Rs 97000), they may retrace to $3275 (~Rs 96000). However, it may go towards $3340 (~Rs 99000) if prices continue to rise beyond $3385 (~Rs 98000).

● For the bull trend to continue, prices must maintain the support of $35.50 (~ Rs 105,300). The next downward level, if this support is breached, is $34.50 (~Rs 104,000). Prices may increase to $36.75 (around Rs 107,500) on the upside.

Support and Resistance

MetalMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3275/oz$3420/oz
Indian₹96,000/10 gm₹1,00,000/10 gm
SilverInternational$35.50/oz$36.75/oz
Indian₹1,05,000/kg₹1,07,500/kg
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International News

Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector

Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments

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Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.

We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:

  • Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
  • Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
  • Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
  • Energy Sector Headwinds

Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:

  • Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.

Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation

The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.

  • US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
  • Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.

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