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Gold prices see steep decline, marking an 8% weekly drop

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Gold prices (GCUSD: $4,010.5, -3.09%) plunged sharply, marking an 8% weekly drop, the steepest since 2013. The fall follows a powerful 55–60% rally in 2025 driven by inflation and Fed cut hopes. Investors are watching for any forward-looking remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, as it is generally anticipated that the Fed will lower interest rates at the conclusion of its policy meeting on Wednesday.

A strong U.S. dollar (and easing U.S.–China tensions sparked profit-taking If Trump and Xi have a fruitful trade summit this week, gold may find itself somewhat in the dark. Analysts warn gold faces key support near $4,050–$4,000 per ounce; below that, a slide toward $3,700–$3,500 is possible as investors reassess safe-haven bets. Technical factors have amplified the fall. According to analysts cited by the Financial Times, gold now faces critical support around $4,050–$4,000 per ounce. A decisive break below could open the door to deeper losses toward $3,700–$3,500 levels. In contrast, if gold holds above these thresholds, traders expect sideways consolidation as markets seek fresh catalysts.

The market is also closely tracking the upcoming US Federal Reserve policy announcement on Wednesday, which is likely to put further downward pressure on the bullion.The market is also expecting a 25 bps rate cut in the upcoming Fed announcement. Attention is turning to upcoming central bank meetings, with the Federal Reserve widely expected to deliver a 25 basis point rate cut following weak inflation data, while both the ECB and BOJ are anticipated to maintain steady policy stances.

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International News

Precious Metals Gain As Crude Prices Weaken

Slumping Crude Prices and A Weaker Greenback Offer Support To Gold and Silver, Even As Federal Reserve Interest-Rate Uncertainty Looms

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Gold and silver prices edged higher on Monday morning, finding support in a softening U.S. dollar and a sharp retreat in global energy prices after President Donald Trump announced that Washington would enter diplomatic talks with Tehran.

The prospect of a diplomatic breakthrough in the Middle East provided immediate relief to global markets, driving crude oil benchmarks down more than 5% to trade near $83 per barrel. The decline in energy costs helped alleviate broader fears of persistent, energy-driven inflation, while the U.S. Dollar Index slipped 0.50% to 99.42—falling below the key 100 mark and making dollar-denominated bullion more attractive to international buyers.

On India’s Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures for October delivery traded up 0.13% at Rs 1,43,557 per 10 grams during early deals. Silver futures for September delivery rose 0.40% to Rs 2,18,061 per kilogram.

The market shift follows statements from President Trump over the weekend indicating that discussions with Iranian officials would take place on Monday. While Mr. Trump set no firm deadline for an agreement, the move raised hopes for a resolution regarding the impasse over Iran’s nuclear ambitions and a potential agreement to guarantee safe passage through the vital Strait of Hormuz.

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