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Diamond industry  operated amid  uncertainty due to  tariff negotiations between the U.S. and India

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Diamond prices rose sharply at the beginning of April in response to announcements of new U.S. import tariffs, and then stabilized later in the month when the U.S. delayed the tariffs by 90 days.

The RapNet Diamond Index (RAPI™) for 1-carat goods edged up 0.7% during the month. The index for 0.30-carat diamonds continued to strengthen, rising 2.8% in April and 13.2% since the beginning of the year. The 0.50-carat RAPI increased 0.6%, while 3-carat stones saw a minor decline of 0.3%. VVS collection goods of 0.30 carats performed well due to increased Indian demand and a slight improvement in China.

The industry operated amid unprecedented uncertainty due to the continuing tariff negotiations between the U.S. and India, respectively the world’s largest diamond-consuming and -manufacturing countries. Trading slowed in centers outside the U.S. However, business within the U.S. was steady and prices rose, reflecting part of the expected tariff costs. The market is closely monitoring end-consumer reactions.

U.S. inventories are elevated, as American traders purchased goods before the tariffs’ anticipated start date, and global trading centers — especially Indian exporters — shipped popular goods to the U.S. Diamond imports to the U.S. are now experiencing a slowdown. Elongated fancy shapes saw strong demand in April, both internationally and in the U.S.

Diamond and jewelry retailers are finishing preparations for Mother’s Day on May 11, one of the key U.S. sales holidays. A survey by the National Retail Federation (NRF) projected that consumer spending on jewelry would be slightly lower than last year.

The rough market was quieter than in March, which was a particularly active period. Anglo American predicts that its customers will remain cautious about buying rough amid the ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and the impact of U.S. tariffs. De Beers’ sales slid 44% year on year in the first quarter to $520 million as slow demand and a buildup of polished inventory led the midstream to restock more slowly.

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DiamondBuzz

De Beers Rough Diamond Production Up 17 Year-on-Year

The Sequential Recovery Was Even More Striking, With Output Climbing 88% Quarter-on-Quarter From a Heavily Suppressed Q4 2025 Baseline

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De Beers rough diamond production up 17% year-on-year to 7.1 million carats for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, is the kind of figure that reads well in a headline. But context transforms interpretation. The sequential recovery was even more striking, with output climbing 88% quarter-on-quarter from a heavily suppressed Q4 2025 baseline — a rebound that reflects operational factors rather than any meaningful surge in consumer demand for natural diamonds.

Both primary growth drivers were operationally predetermined rather than market-responsive. A planned ore release from a new area at the Gahcho Kué joint venture mine in Canada, and the continued processing of higher underground ore volumes at the Venetia mine in South Africa, together accounted for the majority of the year-on-year production increase. These are scheduled outcomes of capital programmes that were set in motion years earlier, not reactive decisions to chase rising diamond prices.

This distinction matters enormously for market interpretation. Production growth driven by mine transition schedules and ore release programmes carries a fundamentally different signal than growth driven by producers ramping up output in response to strengthening demand. In the current environment, De Beers is producing more simply because its mines are at a stage in their operational cycles where more ore is available — not because the market is calling for it.

Furthermore, according to De Beers’ official Q1 2026 production report, the critical distinction for Q1 2026 is that volume and value are moving in opposite directions. A 17% increase in production alongside a 19% decline in average realised price tells a more nuanced story than output data alone can convey. Production guidance for 2026 is unchanged at 21–26 million carats (100% basis). De Beers continues to monitor rough diamond trading conditions in order to align output with prevailing demand. Unit cost guidance for 2026 is unchanged at c.$80/carat

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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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