International News
Bullion battling to sustain at higher levels: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- Gold prices saw losses of almost 2%, dropping below $3300, as investors applauded US President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone imposing tariffs on goods from the European Union.
- Due to uncertainty surrounding US tax policy and tariffs, Durable Goods Orders declined for the first time since October. The tariff truce was credited with helping the US Consumer Confidence rebound from 85.7 to 98.0 in May.
- In April, China’s net imports of gold through Hong Kong more than quadrupled compared to March, reaching their highest level since March 2024.
- Money markets indicate that traders are factoring in easing by 50 basis points by the FED in the year 2025.
Technical Triggers
- Gold prices are expected to trade in the range of $3275(~Rs 95000) and $3375(~Rs 96400) in the near term. Either side breakout or breakdown will give 2-3% movement.
- Silver prices are expected to trade in the range of $32.5(~Rs 96000) and $34(~Rs 99000) in the near term.
Support and Resistance
| Commodity | Market | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | International | $3275/oz | $3375/oz |
| Indian | ₹95,000/10 gm | ₹96,500/10 gm | |
| Silver | International | $32.5/oz | $34/oz |
| Indian | ₹96,000/kg | ₹99,000/kg |
International News
Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector
Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments
Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.
We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:
- Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
- Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
- Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
- Energy Sector Headwinds
Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:
- Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.
Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation
The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.
- US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
- Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.
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